Solano County Real Estate Market Update: Early December 2025 (and What to Expect in 2026)

As we wrap up 2025 and look toward the new year, the Solano County housing market continues to feel refreshingly… normal. No roller-coaster rides, no FOMO frenzy, just a steady, balanced environment that’s giving both buyers and sellers room to breathe. Here’s the latest data snapshot and my take on where things are headed into early 2026.

The Numbers Right Now (Early December 2025)

• Median Sale Price: ≈ $580,000 Basically unchanged from October. We’ve plateaued in a comfortable range after the wild swings of previous years.

• (Source: Redfin)

• Median Days on Market: ~55 days Homes are sitting a bit longer than they were in the spring/summer. This is up from the low-40s we saw earlier in 2025, but still far from the 90+ day “buyers’ market” territory.

• (Source: FRED)

• Sale-to-List Price Ratio: Hovering right around 100% Most homes are selling at or very close to asking price—no massive overbids, but also no fire-sale discounts.

• (Source: Local MLS via eoanda.com)

• Overall Vibe: Inventory and buyer demand are holding steady. We’re not seeing the multiple-offer chaos of 2021–2022, but we’re also nowhere near the gloom of late 2022/early 2023. It’s a healthy, balanced market across Fairfield, Vacaville, Vallejo, Benicia, Dixon, Rio Vista, and Suisun City.

What This Actually Means for You Right Now

If you’re a buyer You’ve got time to shop, compare, and negotiate. Contingencies are sticking again, inspections are thorough, and sellers are more willing to cover small repairs or closing costs. It’s a great window if you’ve been waiting for the frenzy to cool.

If you’re a seller Pricing realistically and presenting a turn-key home is everything. The move-in-ready, well-staged listings in good school districts or with updates (new paint, flooring, kitchen refresh) are still moving fastest and closest to asking. Overprice it by 5–10% hoping for a unicorn bidder and you’ll sit… and probably end up chasing the market down.

My Early 2026 Forecast for Solano County

Barring any major economic surprises, here’s what I see coming in the first quarter:

• Prices: Flat to modestly up (+1% to 3%). We’re unlikely to see big jumps unless rates drop significantly or job growth in the region accelerates faster than expected.

• Days on Market: Mid-50s to low 60s. Still very much a balanced market.

• Inventory: Slight uptick as seasonal “wait until after the holidays” sellers list in January–February. That should give buyers a few more options.

• Demand Catalyst Watch: If 30-year rates dip into the high-5s or low-6s (many economists think that’s possible by late winter), we could see a nice little surge in buyer activity—especially among first-time buyers and move-up families who’ve been sitting on the sidelines.

Bottom line: Solano County is heading into 2026 with stability and predictability—two things we haven’t had much of in real estate for the last decade. It’s not the “get rich quick” seller’s market of 2021, but it’s also not the scary buyer’s market of 2008 or even late 2022. It’s a market that rewards preparation, realistic pricing, and patience.

Whether you’re thinking of making a move in 2026 or just keeping an eye on your home’s value, Solano remains one of the most dependable and affordable pockets in the entire Bay Area region.